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ProtoJeb21

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1 minute ago, dundun92 said:

80° IN THE MIDDLE OF FALL! (yep, thats texas weather)

26-27C in fall? We actually had that in the Netherlands a few weeks ago but it was not completelyinthemiddlehowever

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We finally got some cold in the Catalonian Republic/Spain (depending on your opinion) after Ophelia plowed through Europe. We did not get the worst of it but in an hour 1/8 of the trees in my city we’re on the ground. 

But that’s kind of old news so today we actually have a chilly Castanyada (the catalan halloween but with chestnuts) with 15-20°C. The days are shortening and the fall equinox is gone so we should begin to close on 10 Celsius by Christmas or the end of November (This year has been pretty stupid) near the sea and (hopefully) snow on the mountains. Preferably, at the beginning of December.

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8 hours ago, dundun92 said:

80° IN THE MIDDLE OF FALL! (yep, thats texas weather)

Wuss. *Stares outside at 43º temps*

8 hours ago, razark said:

It's Texas.  Fall doesn't start until mid-January.

It's west Texas for me; fall starts in September, October, November, and Winter starts in December. Summer is off and on throughout the entire "Fall" season.

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Vietnam is about to get hit with a typhoon...for like the fourth or fifth time this year. The amount of activity in the South China Sea this season is quite shocking. This incoming storm, Typhoon Damrey, appears to be undergoing a phase of rapid intensification. A little late for that, since it's about an hour or two away from landfall. However, Damrey has managed to reach Category 2 status with 90 kt (105 mph) winds, and has had its pressure drop from ~980 to 956 mbar within the last 12 hours.

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On 31/10/2017 at 5:29 PM, razark said:

It's Texas.  Fall doesn't start until mid-January.

In coastal the Netherlands Fall starts in Septembre and winter starts and ends in late Februari.

Sometimes the Seasons are just pain inaccurate, depending on where you live.

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In the central Atlantic we now have a tropical disturbance with a 70% chance of developing in the next 5 days. If it becomes a tropical storm, it will be named Rina, making 2017 one of the few seasons to reach the R name, along with 1995, 2005, 2010, 2011, and 2012.

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18 hours ago, SaturnianBlue said:

In the central Atlantic we now have a tropical disturbance with a 70% chance of developing in the next 5 days. If it becomes a tropical storm, it will be named Rina, making 2017 one of the few seasons to reach the R name, along with 1995, 2005, 2010, 2011, and 2012.

It's now Tropical Depression 19, and is expected to become a fairly strong Tropical Storm at the very least (60 mph or more) before merging with a cold front mid-week. I wonder how many more storms will for before the end of the year. 

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According to the latest satellite data uploaded to Tropical Tidbits, Tropical Depression 19 is now Tropical Storm Rina! It likely won't become anything major, but will have a rather interesting track. But it doesn't seem like 2017 is done yet. The GFS model on Tropical Tidbits shows multiple interesting disturbances that may become named storms within the next few weeks. Granted, they'll be relatively weak, but if they all form it will be absolutely astonishing to see this much activity this late in the year. Here's what the most recent GFS model forecasts for the Atlantic up until November 22nd:

  • A low pressure system will move off of the North Carolina/Virginia coast early Wednesday and acquire tropical depression or tropical storm-force winds later in the day. Lowest pressure predicted to be only around 1005 mbar.
  • Next Monday, a low pressure system could form off of the New England coast and potentially become a tropical storm-force system. Two days later it will reach a minimum pressure of between 990 and 997 mbar before becoming a powerful extratropical cyclone.
  • Two low pressure areas may form on Thursday, November 16th. The northern one seems likely to near hurricane strength, but it may become extratropical at that time. The southern disturbance will move northwards over the next two days and get down to about 995 mbar.
  • One final low pressure system will move off the East Coast on Saturday, November 19th. It may become a ~994 mbar tropical storm with a rather large wind field. Winds may get up to about 45-50 knots (50-60 mph).

If these all manage to become fully tropical, between 3 and 5 may become named storms. This would use up the names Sean, Tammy, Vince, Whitney, and Alpha.

Edited by ProtoJeb21
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On 10/11/2017 at 5:16 AM, Findthepin1 said:

Oh my god the wind chill is -21 what is going on

<old man rant>

I really wish that they would go back to quoting wind chills in Watts/square metre... Quoting wind chill as a "temperature" dumbs it down and encourages exaggeration. 

While it may have "felt like -21°C" to someone standing out on the open prairie bearing the full brunt of the wind, the thermometer in that person's hand would only ever read -5°C (or whatever the air temperature happens to be). I think a lot of people fail to understand that difference. The vast majority of people that day wouldn't ever experience the "feels like" temperature because they wouldn't ever be out in the wind. But those same people would go merrily about telling the barrista at Starbucks that "it is -21°C outside!" as they stomp the snow off their shoes and take off their gloves to clean the fog off their glasses while ordering their latte. That wrankles this curmudgeon...

Now you might argue that the W/m^2 number is equally meaningless for the same reason (i.e. because most people won't actually be exposed to the wind so they won't experience that degree of cooling), but the urge to exaggerate is at least removed if the weather report just says "it's -5°C with a wind chill of 1000 W/m^2". The technical meaning/relevance of that 1000 W/m^2 number may be lost on most people, but they can still treat it as an index of how much they need to bundle up if they plan to go skating or ice fishing somewhere out in the wind. It isn't much different than the UV index that the weather office quotes in the summer time.

</old man rant>

Edited by PakledHostage
"gloves", not "cloves"
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