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DDE

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Everything posted by DDE

  1. That requires them to know how it's supposed to work. I don't think they've nailed that down yet. This is speculative, because it sounds pretty mad, but there may be a belief that they can boil the frog. First poke some strikes at something nuclear-adjacent like an early warning radar, which doesn't merit full MAD. Then maybe take out a bomber, which is a dual-capable asset. Then slowly start hunting ICBM TELs, which are about just as valuable. Each step individually would not merit a strategic counterstrike but combined they might be sufficiently degrading. The [unmentionable country without nuclear weapons] has already done/credibly attempted 2 out of 3 steps above, and it's still not nuked. This may be the result of the US not really believing in MAD. There's a distinct desire to have tailored responses to every situation, often situations that are rather fanciful - e.g. W76-2 being meant to match "nuclear blackmail". Accordingly, I feel the US doctrinists don't believe (professionally/on paper) in just flipping out and "letting the cat out of the bag", and project the same thinking onto their adversaries. This is a horrific flaw, both when dealing with a weaker adversary and when dealing with a real POTUS. If a hypothetical Northerner Korea nuked a US city, would a hypothetical US president, like, say... ...ask for a proportionate counterresponse to force Northerner Korea to the negotiating table, or would they declare Exterminatus?
  2. ...assuming they've locked into a mid-course intercept concept, which for reasons outlined above is a giant hurdle of hunting down MIRVs in a cloud of decoys The real threat would have been a Golden Dome that's focused on boost-phase intercept, or "left of launch" missile defense (space-to-ground strike). In this configuration, it would be made of Swiss cheese. From the marketing team that's brought the world a "comprehensive" system of fighter generations...
  3. Alright, this time, no dates... Napoleon's sarcophagus is made from Shoksha quartzite found on the coast of Lake Onega and released by special dispensation of Czar Nikolai I. The material, complete with a sample, was suggested to Louis Visconti in an anonymous letter signed by "an engineer". Nikolai, an unexpected heir to the throne and a military engineer by education, was reportedly very pleased with his father's arch-nemesis being permanently confined by Russian stone.
  4. Today is Writer's Day, apparently. Is that why I've had Writer's Block at work?
  5. This seems redundant to just using a water cannon. A big water cannon.
  6. At the very least, this idea isn't new. I remember it from the 'aughts, when it was mentioned as an alternative to laser-induced plasma, and TASER wires.
  7. On the 6th of December 2014 the French pilot Jean Navarre met a German counterpart above the river Somme. They waved to each other. Then the future Sentinel of Verdun, and possibly the first fighter ace, fetched his carbine and started blasting at his startled opponent.
  8. Two days straight without soup (=first course) is a serious abnormality.
  9. Sprained my left ankle a bit. Why in the hell did that pavement had a step in it?
  10. Theoretically, maybe. Between the fog of war and bias, the two (and you better hope it's just two) sides end up having drastically different ideas of what's going on, and the subjective realities diverge even further.
  11. There's been significant marketing pitch with regards of "left of launch BMD" that involves an aerial campaign to hunt the mobile ICBMs (ПГРК) that may further muddy the water in terms of balance. I think the real reason US ICBM projects were duds is that the US tried to make them have comparable resilience to silos. I mean, look at this https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/ed/Small_ICBM_Hard_Mobile_Launcher_USAF.jpg/1600px-Small_ICBM_Hard_Mobile_Launcher_USAF.jpg and then at this https://cdn.tvc.ru/pictures/o/224/272.jpg Because of that, the difference between mobile launchers and silos is that the silo requires a direct hit on a fixed target, whilst an entire battery of mobile launchers can be taken out by a lucky tacnuke. Terminal BMD is possible to arrange for a silo, but it becomes a dangerous tell for a battery on the move. Hence why Yars regiments get Peresvet ground-to-space lasers, it seems. Submarines used to be considered a substandard first strike option because of lower accuracy. This seems to have abated. Furthermore, while at the height of the First Cold War parking boomers off an enemy's coast was implausible. Now, though... yeah. And I don't just mean the Russian shadow of a navy. It's really a third-strike weapon. It can sink some boomers in harbor, but US boomers have a decent readiness rate, and so about half of them won't be in a harbor to begin with.
  12. I think you're wrong at aiming this at academics per se. A lot of the people who exploit this style of argument are either not academics at all, or are academics with huge, huge scare quotes. They successfully poison the well with regards to requesting any sources, because it's just such a powerful sophistry tactic: assuming your target doesn't simply get intimidated by big words and leaves at this challenge, when it does come back, having done the legwork to get evidence, you're free to pull the rug from under them by claiming it's the wrong kind of evidence. You know, from evil sources. You're right, there's no institutional framework that can eliminate subjectivity.
  13. Was that survey supposed to be in Portuguese? We generally observe this forum to be English-language. Granted, that didn't stop me at all.
  14. The Zundapp Janus, designed by Dornier A contemporary of BMW Isetta Definitely looks safe.... but at least, unlike a Janus, it could have a trunk. Look! It's got a trunk!
  15. https://www.twz.com/land/trumps-missile-defense-initiatives-name-changed-from-iron-dome-to-golden-dome LOL
  16. Vasya, are we the capitalists now? Glavkosmos has turned forty.
  17. Implying this wasn't intentional. There are a whole lot of reasons (but mostly rationalizations) why parents are excluded from their children's upbringing and education - indeed, some of the more determined advicates consider parenting to be a form of slavery, and public (broadly speaking) education to have the primary purpose of emancipation, not confereing knowledge. This is unfortunately met halfway by the parents themselves - I see a clear trend amongst the new generation of Conservative Moral Guardian types of wanting everyone else do the job of moderating the content and technologies their children have access to. Not age ratings for video-games, no supervision over their devices or finances or just the barest involvement in their lives, but age-gating based on government IDs, or outright elimination of all child-unfriendly content everywhere. Must be the same people whose children can just take $2,3 mln (equivalent) in cash from the family's safeboxes and hand it over to "government agents" threatening them over the phone (I am not making this up). Meanwhile, Big Mother is, of course, never wrong, and can and should be entrusted with your children.
  18. Headhunter.ru assigns auto-generated names to CVs that haven't been unlocked (for a fee?) yet. This means one of our candidates is PEACH WOLVERINE
  19. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermionic_converter Again, I understand the sarcasm.
  20. Anything. I'm not joking, I believe they used this title for notifying you about logging in with a different device.
  21. The Russian Imperial Navy had strange ideas about its Nagant revolvers
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