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SpaceX Mars colony predictions

Spaceception

By Spaceception
in Science & Spaceflight

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When will SpaceX put a colony on Mars?  

146 members have voted

  1. 1. When will SpaceX begin putting a colony on Mars?

    • 2026
      12
    • 2028
      9
    • 2030
      21
    • 2032
      10
    • 2034
      6
    • 2036
      12
    • Beyond- i.e. 2038-50
      41
    • It won't happen, and Elon will be really sad
      35

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Ultimate Steve

Ultimate Steve

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, RedKraken said:

What are your thoughts on this Steve?

CRS 7 - 2015. Amos 6 - 2016. About 1 failure a year. Red Dragon is supposed to launch in 2018, so that's a year and a half of potential to RUD.

Yes, success rate should rise because the Falcon 9 is constantly being updated. However, there will be more frequent launches, and more chances to RUD.

No rocket is 100% safe. Sure, there are ones that have flown three times flawlessly, but every rocket that flies more than that will experience a failure eventually. It would be AWESOME if no more Falcon 9's would fail between now and then, though. I'd put my money on something to do with the second stage.

Also, yay! 500 rep!

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