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The Moscow space club has made a projection of the share of non-military Roscosmos funding as compared to the federal budget. There's a pretty clear linear trend of minus 0,05 percentage points per year. By 2031 the civilian space program will have to reach financial self-sufficiency, or else.

https://t.me/roscosmos_press/1843

A reminder that the older space budgets were planned with the mandate of "boots on the Moon by 2030".

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2 hours ago, DDE said:

The Moscow space club has made a projection of the share of non-military Roscosmos funding as compared to the federal budget. There's a pretty clear linear trend of minus 0,05 percentage points per year. By 2031 the civilian space program will have to reach financial self-sufficiency, or else.

https://t.me/roscosmos_press/1843

A reminder that the older space budgets were planned with the mandate of "boots on the Moon by 2030".

South Africa was the first to give up its nuclear weapons voluntarily, perhaps Russia will be the first to give up crewed spaceflight capability voluntarily.

Unless...

 

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1 hour ago, SunlitZelkova said:
4 hours ago, DDE said:

The Moscow space club has made a projection of the share of non-military Roscosmos funding as compared to the federal budget. There's a pretty clear linear trend of minus 0,05 percentage points per year. By 2031 the civilian space program will have to reach financial self-sufficiency, or else.

https://t.me/roscosmos_press/1843

A reminder that the older space budgets were planned with the mandate of "boots on the Moon by 2030".

Expand  

South Africa was the first to give up its nuclear weapons voluntarily, perhaps Russia will be the first to give up crewed spaceflight capability voluntarily.

To be fair, I keep returning to this idea. Overall space funding level are at the level of "having your cake and eating it too" and the manned program has been viciously draining on the overall budget.

And as someone had written,

1 hour ago, SunlitZelkova said:

Unless...

single-module stations offer a lot of value for money, quickly reaching full operational status and not requiring extremely long-lasting components.

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13 minutes ago, DDE said:

Borisov: Roscosmos to perform "more than 40" launches in 2024

https://ria.ru/20240219/roskosmos-1928185605.html

2023 - 19

2023 - 21

2022 - 24

You smell that? Do you smell that?... Budgeting pitch, fellas. Nothing else in the world smells like that.

Wasn't the annual target usually around 50 before they stopped announcing them?

But yeah, good luck finding extra money for manned spaceflight in the current budget situation. Not to mention the one in a couple of years. If there even is a budget by then, things will already have gone more favourably than many are expecting.

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14 hours ago, kerbiloid said:

If remove the cost of bureaucracy, an aluminium barrel with some not very top electronics and mechanics is pretty cheap.

Reminds me of some article about Soviet history or something, where they intended to cut out a lot of the management portion to make the workers more effective. Maybe it wasn't Soviet history, I don't remember.

9 hours ago, DDE said:

Borisov: Roscosmos to perform "more than 40" launches in 2024

https://ria.ru/20240219/roskosmos-1928185605.html

2023 - 19

2023 - 21

2022 - 24

You smell that? Do you smell that?... Budgeting pitch, fellas. Nothing else in the world smells like that.

Meanwhile China released a blue book on its space program, aiming for 100 launches in 2024. I think they launched like 76 last year.

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6 hours ago, SunlitZelkova said:

Soviet history or something, where they intended to cut out a lot of the management portion to make the workers more effective.

It's easy to cut off more managers. If hire more motivators.

***

Unrelated.

Idk any actual plans, of course. But as there is a lot of billionaires to play ~1:100 roulette just for fun to visit a space hotel, and much more people, willingly hired to play another roulette on ground for much lower price than a spaceship, it would be not very hard to cut off excessive reinsurance, implemented in totally peaceful time, to decrease, say, the Soyuz launch cost by order of magnitude, with no additional risk.

Edited by kerbiloid
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54 minutes ago, kerbiloid said:

It's easy to cut off more managers. If hire more motivators.

***

Unrelated.

Idk any actual plans, of course. But as there is a lot of billionaires to play ~1:100 roulette just for fun to visit a space hotel, and much more people, willingly hired to play another roulette on ground for much lower price than a spaceship, it would be not very hard to cut off excessive reinsurance, implemented in totally peaceful time, to decrease, say, the Soyuz launch cost by order of magnitude, with no additional risk.

Somewhere, someone, right now, is probably designing a free fall roulette wheel.  

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Standartization, mass manufacturing.

The less construction changes for every flight, the easier to control the quality.

The fewer excessive coordination on every nut and bolt, the shorter is the production time, the shorter is the coordination chain, the less money is spent on the coordinator chain salary.

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On 2/27/2024 at 9:08 AM, DDE said:

By 2031 the civilian space program will have to reach financial self-sufficiency, or else.

And so I shall no longer have the right to cringe at the tired "artifacts of a more advanced civilization" quip.

Spoiler

z_9ZjJrPurk.jpg?size=807x719&quality=95&

"Ion", tempera and silver leaf on wood, 120 cm. Posted by the author an hour ago.

 

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1 hour ago, SunlitZelkova said:

Does it count if it is probably fully funded by Russia and the "space agency" is just cover for payment for other services and loyalty?  Not singling out Russia here, as the US, the PRC, and many others definitely play this game also.  So many minor government agencies and programs around the  world, and even NGOs, are just geopolitical money laundering outfits at this point.

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On 3/1/2024 at 1:24 AM, Codraroll said:

Well, at this point it's them and the North Koreans. Syria, Eritrea, and Nicaragua presumably don't have the funds for a space program.

Another US probe decided to join Luna-25 club, together with that one with human remains, lost a month ago.

https://www-interfax-ru.translate.goog/world/948591?_x_tr_sl=ru&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=ru&_x_tr_pto=wapp

Happily, we understand, that it's just a chain of accidents, not a system problem.

But technically yes, while Luna-25 was lost in midair (midvacuum), Nova has dived deeper and kissed the surface.

Edited by kerbiloid
The lunumber typo is corrected.
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7 hours ago, kerbiloid said:

Another US probe decided to join Luna-27 club, together with that one with human remains, lost a month ago.

https://www-interfax-ru.translate.goog/world/948591?_x_tr_sl=ru&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=ru&_x_tr_pto=wapp

Happily, we understand, that it's just a chain of accidents, not a system problem.

But technically yes, while Luna-27 was lost in midair (midvacuum), Nova has dived deeper and kissed the surface.

Is this pathetic attempt at whataboutism in any way relevant to the topic at hand, which is the state of the Russian space agency?

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