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What's better, 2-3 small mars colony's or one bigger one


xenomorph555

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In your opinion what is better socially, economically, politically, etc for mars.

A few small marsone-esqe bases with 8-16 people in each, funded by different sources, maybe China tries to rival Marsone with Marstwo. All different locations.

A larger single colony funded by multiple different entities and maybe has 30+ people.

Personally I would go with a few small bases:

No political screw-up: ISS-Ukraine.

Cheaper: $100 billion dollar ISS.

More and faster growth potential.

If one falls there is a contingency: base ruined somehow, temporarily move to other base.

I always thought it would be better if all the space nations had a small salyut, then you wouldn't need a complicated ISS.

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Multiple colonies would require much duplication of effort and skills. It seems like one colony is the way to go until a sustainable breeding population is established.

Came here to say this. Why have 4 hospitals, one each for about ~5 people when a single one would suffice just fine for 20?

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you need to build the colonies where the resources are, and chances are they are not all in one spot.

you are going to get a fair bit of inter base trade, and so you need a means of transport. rovers dont cut it unless your bases are in driving distance. aircraft are a maybe but they are going to need to be vtols to operate safely (runway landings on mars seem a little scary). id imagine reusable ballistic rockets being the best option, given the low gravity and ease of making methane and oxygen from the mars atmosphere and subsurface water.

Came here to say this. Why have 4 hospitals, one each for about ~5 people when a single one would suffice just fine for 20?

you might have a small first aid station at each base, but only one fully equipped hospital at the largest base. every base just has to have a medivac rocket for emergencies. its engine would be throttled for 1g if the patient surviving the trip is a concern.

Edited by Nuke
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Came here to say this. Why have 4 hospitals, one each for about ~5 people when a single one would suffice just fine for 20?

Redundancy is pretty important when you're millions of miles away from help. What are you gonna do if you only build one medical facility and it gets overrun with space weevils?

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Redundancy is pretty important when you're millions of miles away from help. What are you gonna do if you only build one medical facility and it gets overrun with space weevils?

They should be bringing an exterminator so that doesn't happen.

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Multiple colonies would require much duplication of effort and skills. It seems like one colony is the way to go until a sustainable breeding population is established.

That is a sensible thought, but keep in mind that "a sustainable breeding population" in humans has been found to be roughly 200 people - and even then only with a way to inject a fresh round of genetic material once at some later point, either from a second round of settlers arriving or from taking along a bank of frozen sperm.

Probably 300 without that one-time refresher requirement.

I doubt we're going to see that kind of colony size for the first generation or two of human habitation on Mars, even if the supporters of permanent habitation make such a thing happen.

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You have to ask yourself what the purpose of these colonies is.

If only there is some kind of place on earth with an extremely hostile environment where we do scientific research *cough antarctica cough*. How would we do it there?

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Redundancy is pretty important when you're millions of miles away from help. What are you gonna do if you only build one medical facility and it gets overrun with space weevils?

You may be underestimating the difficulty in one colony's inhabitants moving to another colony when their med bay gets destroyed. This won't be a road trip, it'll be more like walking thousands of km in a space suit.

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If your main concern is colonizing and you have to keep your budget down, then a single larger base is the most practical.

Just spread the buildings out so they are a hundred meters apart, string them out over a kilometer or so and cover them with a few meters of soil.

That will help protect you from a bad landing of failed take off. The only other big localized disaster I can think of is a earth/mars quake.

If any big quakes even happen on Mars at all? But they must be very very rare and you can't protect against everything.

I've heard zoologist taking about endangered mammal species needing a breeding population of at least 2000 to prevent long term inbreeding under natural circumstances.

The first few generations could rely on frozen embryos, but if nations become serious about colonizing Mars I think they can get a few thousand people there before inbreeding becomes an issue.

I don't think you can get away from politics, you just have to deal with them. I like my family, but I can also argue politics all day with them too.

Socially a bigger colony is better too. You have a better chance of finding people you want to spend your off time with. Larger populations are better at finding solutions to problems that come up as well and you have more people to get the job done quicker.

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You may be underestimating the difficulty in one colony's inhabitants moving to another colony when their med bay gets destroyed. This won't be a road trip, it'll be more like walking thousands of km in a space suit.

I'd imagine a semi-permanent base would have some sort of rover. The Lunar rovers had a range of about 100km and that was with non-rechargable 1970's batteries. You're obviously not going to even try if the other base is thousands of kilometers away....... but if the aim is for a semi cooperative program, then you wouldn't position your base 1000's of kilometers away from the others...... you'd find a site of geological interest that was closer to others.

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surface to surface rocket travel shouldn't be much of an issue on mars. so long as both destination and origin both have the means to produce fuel, and that is going to be the first thing you set up when you get there. you need o2 and water for your base anyway. if you have the former you can make the latter, with hydrogen as a byproduct. then by using the atmosphere you get additional o2 (oxidizer), you have carbon as a byproduct. put the byproducts together you have methane (fuel). so the perquisites for life on mars are also the perquisites for inter-base transport. ultimately the availability of subsurface water will dictate how much moving around mars residents do.

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.

For all of which you will need lots of power - the sun is far away, the air/wind is thin, no running bodies of water, geothermal power is questionable, fossil fuels non-existent/impractical without readily available oxygen.

Best option - without starting to trash a second planet with waste products from nuclear power generation - is to use solar energy for heating, light and water production, and also for transportation. Rocket taxis are not really economical.

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For all of which you will need lots of power - the sun is far away, the air/wind is thin, no running bodies of water, geothermal power is questionable, fossil fuels non-existent/impractical without readily available oxygen.

Best option - without starting to trash a second planet with waste products from nuclear power generation - is to use solar energy for heating, light and water production, and also for transportation. Rocket taxis are not really economical.

A small nuclear reactor in a martian base is highly likely. Not necessarily as a primary power source, but if they found water they could use the energy from the reactor to combine it with CO2 from the atmosphere to produce methane, which would give them all sorts of power options. A small reactor wouldn't produce a large amount of waste, but could power a large methane processing facility.

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A small nuclear reactor in a martian base is highly likely. Not necessarily as a primary power source, but if they found water they could use the energy from the reactor to combine it with CO2 from the atmosphere to produce methane, which would give them all sorts of power options. A small reactor wouldn't produce a large amount of waste, but could power a large methane processing facility.

I imagine a small submarine type reactor that doesn't have to be refueled for 30 years.

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I think Sandia Labs it was who actually built a small nuclear reactor for space application, for the cancelled Jupiter Icy Moons Orbiter. Put a dirt hill between it and your base and you got yourself a fairly long lasting power source. Combining that with concentrating photovoltaic arrays and fuel cells or batteries would cover all the power needs of a small colony.

@Thread: Multiple colonies are better from a chance of success-point of views, but perhaps less economical. It'll most likely happen that way anyway.

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No need even for that, nuclear reactors actually are very safe unless you're essentially giving the core a bear hug. The walls of the reactor ought to be good enough for government work. And if you want to be extra careful just stick it like 30 meters away from the living area and your perfectly safe

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The likelihood is that larger installations will be self-sustainable and more fail-safe. It would have redundant systems that provide a much safer margin for failure and more extensive facilities to repair, replace, and expand systems.

The irony of mars colonization is that it's not about putting people on mars. It's about putting a system on mars that will then make the colony. Just putting people on mars doesn't accomplish much since they can't do anything. The amount of work someone can do outside a habitat is limited, so most of the work a person can do involves taking care of themselves.

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No need even for that, nuclear reactors actually are very safe unless you're essentially giving the core a bear hug. The walls of the reactor ought to be good enough for government work. And if you want to be extra careful just stick it like 30 meters away from the living area and your perfectly safe

And if that reactor fails?

Nuclear power is not a long-term solution for a Mars colony of any reasonable (non-Earth) size.

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Well yeah, but that also applies on Earth, not to the same extent, but I don't see anyone build a bigass greenhouse by hand alone. Most big construction jobs are done using machinery. Little of that would change on Mars, exept using even more machinery, either with pressurized cabins or via telepresence from within the colony.

Nuclear power is one of two long term solutions for a Mars colony, the other being solar. In 3-400 years maybe even wind power.

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