So, I know there's a thread for this already
See?
So we know Red Dragon is happening, Dragon V2 tests for manned ISS missions are already happening, and the Falcon heavy will be launching late this year, so once both tests are done, they will most definitely begin to build the Red Dragon.
Anyway, if they launch in 2018 (Yes, I know that they reschedule a lot, but a lot can happen in 2 years), do you think that SpaceX will actually put humans on Mars before 2030? Or just have a much higher chance, as they will have put something on Mars before? Or will you only be convinced once the MCT launches in around the 2020's?
Your thoughts on the higher possibility on their SpaceX colony here only, talk about Red Dragon on the thread above