When will colonies come out?

[TickleMyMary]

7 hours ago, DAFATRONALDO2007 IN SPACE said:

COUPLE OF YEARS?!?! I think that's WAY too far of an estimate. I would say 1 year away at most given that science comes just before colonies

The science that hasn't been seen yet? The science they have said will be pretty much the same as KSP1? When they're showing us snippets of the end of the roadmap (multiplayer) and not one single part of the roadmap in between, you've got to wonder what is going on.

You can see for yourself when you eventually get the game.

[TLTay]

Guess?

Ok. Based on the promise vs delivery record, I'll give 12-18 months to a stable foundation with perhaps a bare-bones science mode, and probably 2.5 years to colonies being out. 

Of course, I think cancellation is more likely than reaching colonies, but hey...

[Kerbart]

3 hours ago, JoeSchmuckatelli said:

I waffle between 'what you used to think' (which is what I used to think), and sharing your lack of confidence... but then, part of me looks at how different the first patch was from Release.  If this patch (Wednesday) moves the needle as much as the first - I can see them 'being back on track to complete the Roadmap' in a timely fashion. (...) That whole thing with Release and Patched KSP2  is very, very odd to me.

I find it almost implausible that the game would have been given to us in such a rough state -- especially because Release looked different from what the ESA Event players showcased

Maybe the ESA release ran with some optimizations that were tuned specifically for the hardware used? It wouldn't run on some of the other tested hardware, and the release version had to use a slightly older version that was less picky about the hardware. A theory I just made up so those who are more intimate with game design can shoot holes in it an tell me I'm an idiot who doesn't know what he's talking about, and they'd be right. But do tells us your theories in that case!

What does seem very naive to me  (and it looks like you agree with me) is assuming that work on The Patch started only after the release on February 24. Work on that patch started way before that and probably even before the ESA event. Which means that everyone basing their timelines on "look how much they fixed in Patch One" is in for a rough suprise:

• The first patches will cover, from a bug perspective, the low hanging fruit, the easy to fix things.  The more complex ones will either require more time, pr there will be less bugs patched if patches are released at regular intervals
• The first patch cashed in on work starting way before release. Even the second patch will contain fixes for bugs that were started way before the first patch was released but that "hidden development" will be less and less with each release
• We're already seeing non-roadmap features being added - for instance proper colliders for the garage (and hopefully not just the garage but launch platform and tower as well, for instance) which in turn will introduce new bugs that also need fixing

All in all I expect the pace of bug-fixing to drop significantly. Based on nothing but reasonable expectations and the picture Intercept painted skillfully while  willfully withholding the details about things not going well, I'd think the roadmap milestones would be covered about once per quarter - science in the spring, colonies in the summer, etc. Now I'm expecting Science in the summer, and colonies in the winter—but that could be December or February.

 

[Superfluous J]

9 hours ago, JoeSchmuckatelli said:

Again I direct the audience to the OP question posed:

On 4/9/2023 at 7:19 AM, dsplaisted said:

Any guesses?

You are absolutely correct. Estimations that are correct, informed, or even somewhat based in information are not what the OP wanted. I mistakenly thought they were trying to gather useful information.

To answer the OP again, then: My guess is 7.

 

Edited April 10, 2023 by Superfluous J

[Kerbart]

13 minutes ago, Superfluous J said:

To answer the OP again, then: My guess is 7.

"Seven? Seven what?"

"Yes"

[JoeSchmuckatelli]

35 minutes ago, Superfluous J said:

My guess is 7.

Well played, sir.

 

 

 

*I will also note that 7 is a factor of 42, thus while we have The Answer - we still need to figure out the correct question!*

 

(If, by the way, Colonies comes out as the Sixth Update... I'll owe you one PanGalactic GargleBlaster)

 

 

 

 

 

[Scarecrow71]

2 hours ago, JoeSchmuckatelli said:

Well played, sir.

 

 

 

*I will also note that 7 is a factor of 42, thus while we have The Answer - we still need to figure out the correct question!*

 

(If, by the way, Colonies comes out as the Sixth Update... I'll owe you one PanGalactic GargleBlaster)

 

 

 

 

 

Well, this did come out in 2023.  That's right - twenty frickin three.

[JoeSchmuckatelli]

52 minutes ago, Scarecrow71 said:

2023

That's odd

[DerkyJerkyWreaksHavoc]

15 hours ago, TLTay said:

Guess?

Ok. Based on the promise vs delivery record, I'll give 12-18 months to a stable foundation with perhaps a bare-bones science mode, and probably 2.5 years to colonies being out. 

Of course, I think cancellation is more likely than reaching colonies, but hey...

So i guess we'll get multiplayer in 15 years

10 hours ago, Scarecrow71 said:

Well, this did come out in 2023.  That's right - twenty frickin three.

and y'all thought it would be 2022

[Scarecrow71]

4 hours ago, DAFATRONALDO2007 IN SPACE said:

and y'all thought it would be 2022

My comment was based around the 23 enigma, not the fact that it came out later than everyone thought it would.

23 enigma - Wikipedia