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Coronavirus


Xd the great

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  On 3/4/2020 at 11:09 AM, 5thHorseman said:

I don't know if I should weep for Corona, or Humanity.

I think I'll weep for both just to be safe.

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A friend of mine is a planetarium manager who gives presentations to visiting elementary students. Yesterday's presentation was about the sun. Things went off-course with panicked questions after the presentation described the outer portion of the sun's atmosphere, the "corona".

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  On 3/4/2020 at 11:32 PM, tater said:

I now refer to the common cold I have as "mundane coronavirus" publicly just to freak people out.

 

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Common colds are caused by a rhinovirus IIRC. So you have a corhinovirus

  On 3/4/2020 at 11:51 PM, DeadJohn said:

Or maybe the virus and sun are both similar to a crown/halo. Corona = crown in several languages.

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That makes more sense, also fits with the beer

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  On 3/4/2020 at 11:32 PM, tater said:

I now refer to the common cold I have as "mundane coronavirus" publicly just to freak people out.

 

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A WHO report mentioned that a runny nose is *not* a symptom of the new virus. Everyone's going to start standing next to snotty people; avoid the ones who look healthy.

 

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  On 3/4/2020 at 11:23 PM, StrandedonEarth said:

Well, I assume that class of virus is called “coronavirus” because all those bumps (“attachment” points? Proteins? Receptors?) on the surface resemble the Sun’s corona...

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yes, 'corona' means crown in latin.

It's worth noting that the per capita case load in South Korea is now higher than China, and Italy & Iran are not far behind.

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  On 3/4/2020 at 11:52 PM, StrandedonEarth said:
  On 3/4/2020 at 11:51 PM, DeadJohn said:

Or maybe the virus and sun are both similar to a crown/halo. Corona = crown in several languages.

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That makes more sense, also fits with the beer

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and protuberances from nose.

  On 3/4/2020 at 10:49 PM, DeadJohn said:

A friend of mine is a planetarium manager who gives presentations to visiting elementary students. Yesterday's presentation was about the sun. Things went off-course with panicked questions after the presentation described the outer portion of the sun's atmosphere, the "corona"

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If he was a doctor, he would scare them more, telling about the coronary blood vessels right i the heart.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronary_circulation.

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  On 3/5/2020 at 6:01 AM, VoidSquid said:

In general, be careful with naming, I remember the Mitsubishi Pajero SUV and how it did not sell well in Spanish speaking countries :D 

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Not to mention the diet candy Ayds that came out just months before a certain virus was discovered. Their commercial was literally "Why take diet pills when you can enjoy Ayds?"

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Moscow government is going full Italy despite no cases in the wild. Supposedly. Mandatory, enforced quarantine of all new arrivals from most of Eurasia, mandatory work from home for anyone with a fever, and a ban on suspected COVID cases walking into hospitals.

https://www.mos.ru/upload/documents/docs/12-YM.pdf

I am grimly curious to see how they are going to implement mandatory daily temperature checks of every employee in every workplace. Our office of thousands of people seems to only have one airport-style temperature-measuring 'gun', and the facilities guys might have a few more.

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From today's local newspaper:

  Reveal hidden contents

 

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  On 3/5/2020 at 8:28 PM, VoidSquid said:

You don't have a situation like in Italy.

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  On 3/5/2020 at 8:48 PM, Kerbart said:

Implementing containment measure before getting to that situation might not be unwise though.

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So, it turns out they are also running the red tape needed to get the authority for Wuhan-grade containment - curfew, troops on the street, the works.

https://www.vedomosti.ru/society/articles/2020/03/04/824469-borotsya-s-koronavirusom

Apparently we're still in the very early stage of Plan B, triggered by the arrival of that one infected guy from Milano. We've got promises of entire schools being sent away on quarantine, heavy use of the city's facial recognition networks, and a Singapore-style website tracking infectees and indicating known hot-zones.

Edit: oh, and for good measure.

SPIEF is a big deal.

Edited by DDE
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Good overview.

A few tidbits. There's a paper that estimates that only 5% of the actual cases in China have been tested/reported.

While the case fatality rate is defined as deaths/tested cases, the "true" chance of death would be the deaths/actual cases. If that paper is right, divide the CFR values you see by as much as 20. Stats of other pandemics of course likely change in a similar way, so perhaps the relative risk is still the same for COVID-19 vs seasonal flus, for example. But the absolute risk of course is lower.

The thing that is wrong-headed, IMO, are stories we see that suggest that if X million people are infected, then 0.03*X will die. That is, using the CFR to predict deaths, when you really need an estimate of the actual fatality rate to do so. Divide that number by 10-20, probably.

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